FORECAST TRACKER
Forecasts
English editions of official plans, reported roadmaps, analyst forecasts, and rumors, with later events used for verification.
English copy is currently AI-generated and has not yet been human-reviewed. The Chinese record remains the canonical source.
Cyberspace Administration of China
China’s AI anthropomorphic interaction rules take effect on July 15, 2026
The formal regulatory text specifies a July 15, 2026 effective date; this date-certain forecast is retained as a historical record and linked to the fulfilled event through its resolution.
Expected: 2026-07-15
OpenAI
Codex to reset usage limits again on August 10, 2026
The original conditional forecast is retained with its source and linked through the resolution to the completed reset.
Expected: 2026-08-10
OpenAI
Codex to reset usage limits again at 10M users
This conditional forecast is complete: Codex and ChatGPT Work reached 10M on July 21, 2026, and a paid-user reset was subsequently announced. The original commitment did not include further milestones after 10M.
Expected: Date not set
OpenAI
Codex to reset usage limits again at 9M users
This conditional forecast has been fulfilled; the original forecast and its source are retained and linked to the 9M reset event through the resolution.
Expected: Date not set
OpenAI
GPT-6/Astra August 2026 release rumor later denied
This record remains a rumor-checking archive, not an active release forecast. Early community rumors linked OpenAI’s unreleased Astra model to GPT-6, GPT-5.7, or GPT-6-7 and pointed to August 2026, but an August 15, 2026 X post explicitly said Astra would not launch that month, while OpenAI has still not confirmed the name or a release date.
Expected: Date not set